Recent monsoon advancement across northern India has introduced widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, moderating afternoon heating and anchoring trader focus on the 31–33°C range for Lucknow’s July 8 maximum. Ensemble forecasts show the monsoon trough positioned near the region, limiting surface insolation while raising humidity and triggering localized convection that caps peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: stronger or earlier precipitation favors the lower 31°C bin, whereas delayed or lighter activity supports 32–33°C. Historical July averages near 34°C underscore how active monsoon conditions this week are compressing probabilities around these thresholds ahead of updated IMD model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 8?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 8?
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 21%
34°C 8.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 lug 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
21%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 21%
34°C 8.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 lug 2026
27°C or below
$23 Vol.
1%
28°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$233 Vol.
1%
30°C
$90 Vol.
7%
31°C
$81 Vol.
25%
32°C
$28 Vol.
30%
33°C
$20 Vol.
21%
34°C
$5 Vol.
9%
35°C
$337 Vol.
1%
36°C
$131 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement across northern India has introduced widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, moderating afternoon heating and anchoring trader focus on the 31–33°C range for Lucknow’s July 8 maximum. Ensemble forecasts show the monsoon trough positioned near the region, limiting surface insolation while raising humidity and triggering localized convection that caps peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: stronger or earlier precipitation favors the lower 31°C bin, whereas delayed or lighter activity supports 32–33°C. Historical July averages near 34°C underscore how active monsoon conditions this week are compressing probabilities around these thresholds ahead of updated IMD model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,497Data di fine
8 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement across northern India has introduced widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, moderating afternoon heating and anchoring trader focus on the 31–33°C range for Lucknow’s July 8 maximum. Ensemble forecasts show the monsoon trough positioned near the region, limiting surface insolation while raising humidity and triggering localized convection that caps peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: stronger or earlier precipitation favors the lower 31°C bin, whereas delayed or lighter activity supports 32–33°C. Historical July averages near 34°C underscore how active monsoon conditions this week are compressing probabilities around these thresholds ahead of updated IMD model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,497Data di fine
8 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon advancement across northern India has introduced widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Uttar Pradesh, moderating afternoon heating and anchoring trader focus on the 31–33°C range for Lucknow’s July 8 maximum. Ensemble forecasts show the monsoon trough positioned near the region, limiting surface insolation while raising humidity and triggering localized convection that caps peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced solar radiation. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness: stronger or earlier precipitation favors the lower 31°C bin, whereas delayed or lighter activity supports 32–33°C. Historical July averages near 34°C underscore how active monsoon conditions this week are compressing probabilities around these thresholds ahead of updated IMD model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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