**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 1?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$59,420 Vol.
$59,420 Vol.
1 giu 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$59,420 Vol.
$59,420 Vol.
1 giu 2026
32°C or below
$11,751 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,887 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$6,134 Vol.
No
35°C
$12,223 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,937 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,550 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,336 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,918 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,908 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,100 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$676 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$59,420Data di fine
1 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,420Data di fine
1 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 33°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Lucknow on June 1, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department forecast and model consensus projecting a maximum near that threshold under prevailing atmospheric conditions.** Recent observations show temperatures running several degrees below seasonal norms, consistent with broader northwest India patterns influenced by moisture influx and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with minimal dispersion in ensemble runs. Resolution hinges on the final IMD Lucknow station reading; any late-day measurement revision or localized variability could introduce minor uncertainty, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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