Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 Vol.
$108,621 Vol.
15 giu 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 Vol.
$108,621 Vol.
15 giu 2026
27°C or below
$1,593 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,207 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,202 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,883 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,576 Vol.
No
32°C
$19,769 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$14,035 Vol.
No
34°C
$16,312 Vol.
No
35°C
$13,300 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,846 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,898 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$108,621Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108,621Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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