Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 17?
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$87,247 Vol.
$87,247 Vol.
17 giu 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$87,247 Vol.
$87,247 Vol.
17 giu 2026
32°C or below
$3,438 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,278 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,606 Vol.
No
35°C
$26,217 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$14,466 Vol.
No
37°C
$15,936 Vol.
No
38°C
$8,168 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,022 Vol.
No
40°C
$861 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,100 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$155 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$87,247Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,247Data di fine
17 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Strong model consensus and real-time observations from Spanish meteorological agencies support the market's 100% implied probability for a 35°C high in Madrid on June 17, with afternoon readings climbing under clear skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes solar heating. June climatology places typical maxima near 28–30°C, yet persistent high-pressure systems and above-average soil dryness have amplified daytime warming this week, aligning forecasts from multiple runs at or above the threshold. Late-day cooling or minor measurement variations at official stations could still shift the final recorded peak by 1–2°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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