Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,489 Vol.
$83,489 Vol.
6 giu 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,489 Vol.
$83,489 Vol.
6 giu 2026
24°C or below
$11 Vol.
No
25°C
$11 Vol.
No
26°C
$577 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,216 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,361 Vol.
No
29°C
$28,514 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,813 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$9,781 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,070 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,121 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$3,014 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$83,489Data di fine
6 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$83,489Data di fine
6 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti