Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 1° luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 1° luglio?
34°C 100.0%
26°C o meno <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 Vol.
$136,479 Vol.
1 lug 2026
26°C o meno
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Sì
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C o meno <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 Vol.
$136,479 Vol.
1 lug 2026
26°C o meno
$14,601 Vol.
No
27°C
$18,536 Vol.
No
28°C
$19,716 Vol.
No
29°C
$17,050 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,084 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,064 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,072 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,778 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,493 Vol.
Sì
35°C
$4,959 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$5,128 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$136,479Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$136,479Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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