Official temperature observations from Miami International Airport on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the near-certain market consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects typical early-summer conditions in South Florida, where high pressure, light winds, and abundant sunshine often produce afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s under climatological norms. Forecasters from NOAA noted minimal model spread in the days leading up to the date, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting further intensification. Only an unexpected late-day sea-breeze surge or measurement revision could have altered the result, though no such factors materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Miami on June 15?
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$81,062 Vol.
$81,062 Vol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$81,062 Vol.
$81,062 Vol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official temperature observations from Miami International Airport on June 15, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the near-certain market consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome reflects typical early-summer conditions in South Florida, where high pressure, light winds, and abundant sunshine often produce afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 90s under climatological norms. Forecasters from NOAA noted minimal model spread in the days leading up to the date, with dew points in the mid-70s limiting further intensification. Only an unexpected late-day sea-breeze surge or measurement revision could have altered the result, though no such factors materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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