Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 Vol.
$41,902 Vol.
18 giu 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$41,902 Vol.
$41,902 Vol.
18 giu 2026
30°C or below
$688 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,885 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,214 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,461 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$7,747 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,992 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,057 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,861 Vol.
No
38°C
$378 Vol.
No
39°C
$365 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$253 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Volume
$41,902Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,902Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a peak of 33–34°C in Milan on June 18 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits mixing. Persistent subsidence and dry soil in the Po Valley enhance daytime radiative heating, pushing afternoon readings into the low-to-mid 30s while keeping 35°C probabilities low. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects narrow ensemble spread and historical June climatology of 26–28°C averages, with only modest upside risk if insolation peaks earlier than expected.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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