Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 6?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$94,149 Vol.
$94,149 Vol.
6 mag 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$94,149 Vol.
$94,149 Vol.
6 mag 2026
10°C or below
$362 Vol.
No
11°C
$270 Vol.
No
12°C
$770 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,750 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,429 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,265 Vol.
No
16°C
$17,600 Vol.
No
17°C
$16,136 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$13,120 Vol.
No
19°C
$13,991 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$17,457 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$94,149Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$94,149Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 1:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Milan today, reflecting unified forecasts from Italian meteorological agencies like ARPA Lombardia and the Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo, which project a daily maximum of 16-17°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a sharp weather shift over the past 48 hours: a depressionary circulation drawing cooler Atlantic air has displaced the prior warm spell of 25-26°C highs, suppressing insolation and capping temperatures via cold air advection and precipitation. Current midday observations align with model runs from ECMWF and regional ensembles showing peaks around 17°C at Milano Linate. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for added solar heating to reach 18°C, though ongoing instability makes this improbable; official end-of-day readings from reference stations will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti