Trader consensus clusters around Central Park highs of 54-59°F on April 19, per latest National Weather Service area forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means, amid a sharp cool-down from early April's record 90°F heat under an advancing upper-level trough and weak frontal boundary. High precipitation odds (80-85%) and persistent cloud cover with light southeast winds (4-5 mph) cap heating potential at 52-55°F in pessimistic scenarios, while delayed showers or partial clearing could boost diurnal peaks toward 58-59°F, explaining the tight 20-30% probabilities across bins. Short-range model divergences underscore uncertainty in boundary timing; updated 12z runs midday April 17 may refine guidance. Mid-April climatological highs average near 60°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 19 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 19 aprile?
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 26%
58-59°F 20%
52-53°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 apr 2026
47°F o meno
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
13%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
1%
66°F o superiore
<1%
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 26%
58-59°F 20%
52-53°F 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 apr 2026
47°F o meno
$192 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$81 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$155 Vol.
5%
52-53°F
$120 Vol.
13%
54-55°F
$66 Vol.
30%
56-57°F
$91 Vol.
26%
58-59°F
$223 Vol.
20%
60-61°F
$91 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$344 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$476 Vol.
1%
66°F o superiore
$251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around Central Park highs of 54-59°F on April 19, per latest National Weather Service area forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means, amid a sharp cool-down from early April's record 90°F heat under an advancing upper-level trough and weak frontal boundary. High precipitation odds (80-85%) and persistent cloud cover with light southeast winds (4-5 mph) cap heating potential at 52-55°F in pessimistic scenarios, while delayed showers or partial clearing could boost diurnal peaks toward 58-59°F, explaining the tight 20-30% probabilities across bins. Short-range model divergences underscore uncertainty in boundary timing; updated 12z runs midday April 17 may refine guidance. Mid-April climatological highs average near 60°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,086Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around Central Park highs of 54-59°F on April 19, per latest National Weather Service area forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means, amid a sharp cool-down from early April's record 90°F heat under an advancing upper-level trough and weak frontal boundary. High precipitation odds (80-85%) and persistent cloud cover with light southeast winds (4-5 mph) cap heating potential at 52-55°F in pessimistic scenarios, while delayed showers or partial clearing could boost diurnal peaks toward 58-59°F, explaining the tight 20-30% probabilities across bins. Short-range model divergences underscore uncertainty in boundary timing; updated 12z runs midday April 17 may refine guidance. Mid-April climatological highs average near 60°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,086Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around Central Park highs of 54-59°F on April 19, per latest National Weather Service area forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means, amid a sharp cool-down from early April's record 90°F heat under an advancing upper-level trough and weak frontal boundary. High precipitation odds (80-85%) and persistent cloud cover with light southeast winds (4-5 mph) cap heating potential at 52-55°F in pessimistic scenarios, while delayed showers or partial clearing could boost diurnal peaks toward 58-59°F, explaining the tight 20-30% probabilities across bins. Short-range model divergences underscore uncertainty in boundary timing; updated 12z runs midday April 17 may refine guidance. Mid-April climatological highs average near 60°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti