Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on May 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 19?
95°F or below 100.0%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$8,201 Vol.
$8,201 Vol.
19 mag 2026
95°F or below
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
95°F or below 100.0%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$8,201 Vol.
$8,201 Vol.
19 mag 2026
95°F or below
$2,246 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$1,514 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$574 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$620 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$570 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$611 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$521 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$240 Vol.
No
110-111°F
$577 Vol.
No
112-113°F
$546 Vol.
No
114°F or higher
$181 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 19, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$8,201Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,201Data di fine
19 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 19, 2026, 6:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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