Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on April 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 25?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$111,338 Vol.
$111,338 Vol.
25 apr 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$111,338 Vol.
$111,338 Vol.
25 apr 2026
15°C or below
$6,680 Vol.
No
16°C
$602 Vol.
No
17°C
$711 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,690 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,812 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,015 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,806 Vol.
No
22°C
$20,980 Vol.
No
23°C
$17,197 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$21,697 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$16,148 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$111,338Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$111,338Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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