Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,638 Vol.
$113,638 Vol.
14 giu 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$113,638 Vol.
$113,638 Vol.
14 giu 2026
20°C or below
$3,004 Vol.
No
21°C
$561 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,570 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,492 Vol.
No
24°C
$36,730 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,587 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$13,798 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,917 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,712 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,308 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$3,957 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$113,638Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$113,638Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting numerical weather prediction models indicate high pressure over the Paris region on June 14, 2026, with mostly clear skies and light winds sustaining a daytime maximum near 25°C. This setup aligns with observed surface conditions and 850 hPa temperature fields, producing narrow forecast spread and strong model consensus that underpins the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Historical June baselines around 22–24°C provide additional context, though urban heat island effects in central Paris can add localized variability. A late-day convective cell or rapid model revision could still shift the recorded high, but current observational data and steering patterns make such changes unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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