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Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?

icon for Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?

Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?

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70-71°F 33%

72-73°F 27%

68-69°F 22%

74-75°F 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

70-71°F 33%

72-73°F 27%

68-69°F 22%

74-75°F 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

63°F or below

$85 Vol.

1%

64-65°F

$319 Vol.

4%

66-67°F

$93 Vol.

5%

68-69°F

$140 Vol.

22%

70-71°F

$1,214 Vol.

33%

72-73°F

$451 Vol.

27%

74-75°F

$516 Vol.

8%

76-77°F

$82 Vol.

3%

78-79°F

$121 Vol.

1%

80-81°F

$175 Vol.

<1%

82°F or higher

$357 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Seattle's July 10 high because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent marine-layer influence and light onshore flow that caps daytime warming near typical mid-summer values. Ensemble runs show limited spread driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing, with 70-71°F edging ahead on the latest deterministic solutions. Historical July averages near 75°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns suppress heat-wave potential, keeping odds for 78°F or higher below 4 percent while still allowing modest upside if offshore flow strengthens overnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,548
Data di fine
10 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 68-73°F for Seattle's July 10 high because National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate persistent marine-layer influence and light onshore flow that caps daytime warming near typical mid-summer values. Ensemble runs show limited spread driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing, with 70-71°F edging ahead on the latest deterministic solutions. Historical July averages near 75°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns suppress heat-wave potential, keeping odds for 78°F or higher below 4 percent while still allowing modest upside if offshore flow strengthens overnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,548
Data di fine
10 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Domande frequenti

"Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "70-71°F" a 33%, seguito da "72-73°F" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 33¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 8, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?" è "70-71°F" a 33%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 33% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "72-73°F" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Highest temperature in Seattle on July 10?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.