Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo l'11 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo l'11 luglio?
25°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,907 Vol.
$19,907 Vol.
11 lug 2026
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sì
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,907 Vol.
$19,907 Vol.
11 lug 2026
19°C o inferiore
$866 Vol.
No
20°C
$807 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,079 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,770 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,627 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,831 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,371 Vol.
Sì
26°C
$1,057 Vol.
No
27°C
$911 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,546 Vol.
No
29°C o superiore
$2,042 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,907Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,907Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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