Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 9?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$264,495 Vol.
$264,495 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$264,495 Vol.
$264,495 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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