Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 27.5°C during the afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) summaries confirm this maximum in the past 24 hours, matching pre-dawn forecast guidance from global models like ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected 27°C amid post-cold snap recovery. With evening temperatures dropping to 15°C by 18:00, further warming is impossible; only an improbable official data revision upward could challenge this positioning before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 5?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$195,816 Vol.
$195,816 Vol.
5 mag 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$195,816 Vol.
$195,816 Vol.
5 mag 2026
20°C or below
$11,622 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,858 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,233 Vol.
No
23°C
$20,136 Vol.
No
24°C
$15,880 Vol.
No
25°C
$21,646 Vol.
No
26°C
$17,859 Vol.
No
27°C
$34,520 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$27,300 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,493 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$18,268 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 27.5°C during the afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) summaries confirm this maximum in the past 24 hours, matching pre-dawn forecast guidance from global models like ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected 27°C amid post-cold snap recovery. With evening temperatures dropping to 15°C by 18:00, further warming is impossible; only an improbable official data revision upward could challenge this positioning before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$195,816Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 27.5°C during the afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) summaries confirm this maximum in the past 24 hours, matching pre-dawn forecast guidance from global models like ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected 27°C amid post-cold snap recovery. With evening temperatures dropping to 15°C by 18:00, further warming is impossible; only an improbable official data revision upward could challenge this positioning before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$195,816Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport station—the market's resolution source—peaking at 27.5°C during the afternoon under clear skies and light southerly winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) summaries confirm this maximum in the past 24 hours, matching pre-dawn forecast guidance from global models like ECMWF and UK Met Office, which projected 27°C amid post-cold snap recovery. With evening temperatures dropping to 15°C by 18:00, further warming is impossible; only an improbable official data revision upward could challenge this positioning before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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