Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 21?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$70,704 Vol.
$70,704 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Central Weather Administration's latest forecast caps Taipei's high at 30°C on April 21 under partly clear skies and light easterly winds, with Songshan Airport station observations confirming midday peaks at exactly 30°C amid 70-80% humidity that curbs additional warming. Reduced cloud cover in updated model runs shifted expectations from 29°C, aligning trader consensus—backed by real capital—at near-certainty for this outcome, consistent with April climatology where averages hover 25-26°C but warm spells enable 30°C maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine or weakened sea breezes pushing 31°C+, though evening cooling and low-level shear make this improbable; final daily report from CWA expected post-midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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