**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 18 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 18 luglio?
35°C 100.0%
30°C o inferiore <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 Vol.
$40,778 Vol.
18 lug 2026
30°C o inferiore
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Sì
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C o superiore
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C o inferiore <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,778 Vol.
$40,778 Vol.
18 lug 2026
30°C o inferiore
$1,435 Vol.
No
31°C
$750 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,156 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,701 Vol.
No
34°C
$12,550 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,402 Vol.
Sì
36°C
$2,607 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,294 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,217 Vol.
No
39°C
$358 Vol.
No
40°C o superiore
$309 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$40,778Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,778Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Recent official forecasts from sources like the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather place Tel Aviv’s July 18 high near 30–33°C amid typical midsummer conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This range aligns with historical July averages of 30–32°C while allowing for modest daily variability driven by sea-breeze timing and exact peak-hour insolation. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on 34°C (56.5%) and 33°C (30.5%), reflecting model runs that favor the upper half of the expected envelope without signaling an anomalous heat episode. With resolution only two days away, any late adjustment in numerical guidance or observed afternoon maxima will determine whether the peak settles at or above 34°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti