Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
27°C 40%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 6%
NUOVO
$19,805 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,805 Vol.
7 lug 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 6%
NUOVO
$19,805 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,805 Vol.
7 lug 2026
22°C or below
$2,120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$773 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,477 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,194 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,134 Vol.
29%
27°C
$7,967 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,002 Vol.
16%
29°C
$705 Vol.
4%
30°C
$514 Vol.
1%
31°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$484 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$19,805Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,805Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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