Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Toronto on July 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 5?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$80,979 Vol.
$80,979 Vol.
5 lug 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$80,979 Vol.
$80,979 Vol.
5 lug 2026
21°C or below
$11,522 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,139 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,493 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,781 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$16,622 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,547 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,160 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,792 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,165 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,408 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$2,349 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$80,979Data di fine
5 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80,979Data di fine
5 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles places Toronto’s July 5 maximum near 26–27 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A passing trough and associated cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and produce isolated showers, preventing stronger daytime heating while a moderating southwest flow off Lake Ontario further caps the peak. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because of stable large-scale ridging, yet small timing differences in shower onset or lake-breeze strength could shift the observed high by 1 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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