Polymarket traders price a 33.5% implied probability on SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, reflecting Bloomberg and Reuters reports of a confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation—later boosted above $2 trillion amid Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $16 billion annually. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, stems from recent tender offers at $800 billion and Starlink's EBITDA surge, but the fragmented odds (down to 2.4% for $120 billion+) highlight uncertainty over final sizing, influenced by June listing timeline risks, regulatory approvals, and equity market volatility. Key differentiators include Starship milestones for upside and macro risk-off sentiment for downside compression.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$134,522 Vol.
$134,522 Vol.
<40 miliardi
6%
40-50 miliardi
6%
50-60 miliardi
16%
60-70 miliardi
9%
70-80B
34%
80-90 miliardi
16%
90-100 miliardi
2%
100-110B
19%
110-120 miliardi
1%
120 miliardi+
2%
$134,522 Vol.
$134,522 Vol.
<40 miliardi
$9,566 Vol.
6%
40-50 miliardi
$5,305 Vol.
6%
50-60 miliardi
$33,028 Vol.
16%
60-70 miliardi
$14,044 Vol.
9%
70-80B
$23,928 Vol.
34%
80-90 miliardi
$15,462 Vol.
16%
90-100 miliardi
$10,080 Vol.
2%
100-110B
$7,478 Vol.
19%
110-120 miliardi
$8,136 Vol.
1%
120 miliardi+
$7,496 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price a 33.5% implied probability on SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, reflecting Bloomberg and Reuters reports of a confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation—later boosted above $2 trillion amid Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $16 billion annually. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, stems from recent tender offers at $800 billion and Starlink's EBITDA surge, but the fragmented odds (down to 2.4% for $120 billion+) highlight uncertainty over final sizing, influenced by June listing timeline risks, regulatory approvals, and equity market volatility. Key differentiators include Starship milestones for upside and macro risk-off sentiment for downside compression.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$134,522Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders price a 33.5% implied probability on SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, reflecting Bloomberg and Reuters reports of a confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation—later boosted above $2 trillion amid Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $16 billion annually. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, stems from recent tender offers at $800 billion and Starlink's EBITDA surge, but the fragmented odds (down to 2.4% for $120 billion+) highlight uncertainty over final sizing, influenced by June listing timeline risks, regulatory approvals, and equity market volatility. Key differentiators include Starship milestones for upside and macro risk-off sentiment for downside compression.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$134,522Mercato aperto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 33.5% implied probability on SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, reflecting Bloomberg and Reuters reports of a confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, targeting up to $75 billion in proceeds at a $1.75 trillion valuation—later boosted above $2 trillion amid Starlink's explosive revenue growth to $16 billion annually. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, stems from recent tender offers at $800 billion and Starlink's EBITDA surge, but the fragmented odds (down to 2.4% for $120 billion+) highlight uncertainty over final sizing, influenced by June listing timeline risks, regulatory approvals, and equity market volatility. Key differentiators include Starship milestones for upside and macro risk-off sentiment for downside compression.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti