Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes including his administration's refusal to countersign revised fiscal allocation laws, but the effort remains stalled due to the KMT-TPP coalition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats) for passage. A potential impeachment vote was anticipated around May 19, 2026, yet traders price "No" at 91.5%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal and Lai's continued tenure, evidenced by his active role in recent events like the March 2026 Yushan Forum and Ministry of Foreign Affairs banquet. His fixed four-year term extends to 2028, with no reports of resignation plans, health concerns, or other disqualifying factors amid ongoing cross-strait tensions. Late-breaking scandals or legal rulings could shift odds, but current consensus sees stability prevailing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$25,351 Vol.
$25,351 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$25,351 Vol.
$25,351 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes including his administration's refusal to countersign revised fiscal allocation laws, but the effort remains stalled due to the KMT-TPP coalition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats) for passage. A potential impeachment vote was anticipated around May 19, 2026, yet traders price "No" at 91.5%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal and Lai's continued tenure, evidenced by his active role in recent events like the March 2026 Yushan Forum and Ministry of Foreign Affairs banquet. His fixed four-year term extends to 2028, with no reports of resignation plans, health concerns, or other disqualifying factors amid ongoing cross-strait tensions. Late-breaking scandals or legal rulings could shift odds, but current consensus sees stability prevailing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$25,351Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes including his administration's refusal to countersign revised fiscal allocation laws, but the effort remains stalled due to the KMT-TPP coalition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats) for passage. A potential impeachment vote was anticipated around May 19, 2026, yet traders price "No" at 91.5%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal and Lai's continued tenure, evidenced by his active role in recent events like the March 2026 Yushan Forum and Ministry of Foreign Affairs banquet. His fixed four-year term extends to 2028, with no reports of resignation plans, health concerns, or other disqualifying factors amid ongoing cross-strait tensions. Late-breaking scandals or legal rulings could shift odds, but current consensus sees stability prevailing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,351Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes including his administration's refusal to countersign revised fiscal allocation laws, but the effort remains stalled due to the KMT-TPP coalition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats) for passage. A potential impeachment vote was anticipated around May 19, 2026, yet traders price "No" at 91.5%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal and Lai's continued tenure, evidenced by his active role in recent events like the March 2026 Yushan Forum and Ministry of Foreign Affairs banquet. His fixed four-year term extends to 2028, with no reports of resignation plans, health concerns, or other disqualifying factors amid ongoing cross-strait tensions. Late-breaking scandals or legal rulings could shift odds, but current consensus sees stability prevailing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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