Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving legislative bills and executive actions, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote yielded only 56 supporting ballots against the 76-vote two-thirds threshold required under the constitution. With the deadline now just weeks away and no subsequent motions advancing amid the same seat distribution, traders assign near-certain probability to no formal impeachment occurring by June 30. The outcome aligns with historical patterns where divided government and supermajority rules have blocked similar efforts. A late-session surprise coalition shift or procedural maneuver remains theoretically possible though unsupported by current legislative dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLai Ching-te messa sotto accusa entro il 30 giugno?
Lai Ching-te messa sotto accusa entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$1,343,911 Vol.
$1,343,911 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$1,343,911 Vol.
$1,343,911 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving legislative bills and executive actions, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote yielded only 56 supporting ballots against the 76-vote two-thirds threshold required under the constitution. With the deadline now just weeks away and no subsequent motions advancing amid the same seat distribution, traders assign near-certain probability to no formal impeachment occurring by June 30. The outcome aligns with historical patterns where divided government and supermajority rules have blocked similar efforts. A late-session surprise coalition shift or procedural maneuver remains theoretically possible though unsupported by current legislative dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$1,343,911Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving legislative bills and executive actions, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote yielded only 56 supporting ballots against the 76-vote two-thirds threshold required under the constitution. With the deadline now just weeks away and no subsequent motions advancing amid the same seat distribution, traders assign near-certain probability to no formal impeachment occurring by June 30. The outcome aligns with historical patterns where divided government and supermajority rules have blocked similar efforts. A late-session surprise coalition shift or procedural maneuver remains theoretically possible though unsupported by current legislative dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,343,911Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving legislative bills and executive actions, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote yielded only 56 supporting ballots against the 76-vote two-thirds threshold required under the constitution. With the deadline now just weeks away and no subsequent motions advancing amid the same seat distribution, traders assign near-certain probability to no formal impeachment occurring by June 30. The outcome aligns with historical patterns where divided government and supermajority rules have blocked similar efforts. A late-session surprise coalition shift or procedural maneuver remains theoretically possible though unsupported by current legislative dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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