**Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan launched the first presidential impeachment motion against Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign amendments to a revenue-sharing law that would redirect funds to local governments.** The KMT- and TPP-led coalition holds a legislative majority but only about 62 seats, falling short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to advance the measure to the Constitutional Court, which itself faces quorum challenges. The May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since, amid ongoing executive-legislative tensions over separation of powers, fiscal policy, and institutional functioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts that could alter the balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,359,010 Vol.
31 dicembre
3%
$1,359,010 Vol.
31 dicembre
3%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...**Opposition parties in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan launched the first presidential impeachment motion against Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai's refusal to countersign amendments to a revenue-sharing law that would redirect funds to local governments.** The KMT- and TPP-led coalition holds a legislative majority but only about 62 seats, falling short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 votes) required to advance the measure to the Constitutional Court, which itself faces quorum challenges. The May 2026 floor vote failed 56-50. No new impeachment proceedings have advanced since, amid ongoing executive-legislative tensions over separation of powers, fiscal policy, and institutional functioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of recent catalysts that could alter the balance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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