**Taiwan’s divided government, with the opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan holding a slim majority but lacking the two-thirds supermajority required for presidential impeachment, continues to shape low probabilities on related markets.** The opposition KMT and TPP launched proceedings in late 2025 over executive refusal to promulgate a revenue-sharing law, but the May 2026 floor vote received only 56 of 76 needed votes and failed—the first such attempt in Taiwan’s history. Additional constitutional steps, including two-thirds approval by the Constitutional Court amid ongoing quorum disputes, create further structural barriers. No new motion has advanced since. Upcoming November 2026 local elections could alter legislative dynamics or political pressure, while ongoing executive-legislative clashes over budgets, defense spending, and policy implementation remain the main sources of tension. Trader consensus reflects these high institutional thresholds and limited recent momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,359,010 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
3%
$1,359,010 Vol.
31 dicembre
$315 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Taiwan’s divided government, with the opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan holding a slim majority but lacking the two-thirds supermajority required for presidential impeachment, continues to shape low probabilities on related markets.** The opposition KMT and TPP launched proceedings in late 2025 over executive refusal to promulgate a revenue-sharing law, but the May 2026 floor vote received only 56 of 76 needed votes and failed—the first such attempt in Taiwan’s history. Additional constitutional steps, including two-thirds approval by the Constitutional Court amid ongoing quorum disputes, create further structural barriers. No new motion has advanced since. Upcoming November 2026 local elections could alter legislative dynamics or political pressure, while ongoing executive-legislative clashes over budgets, defense spending, and policy implementation remain the main sources of tension. Trader consensus reflects these high institutional thresholds and limited recent momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,359,010Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Taiwan’s divided government, with the opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan holding a slim majority but lacking the two-thirds supermajority required for presidential impeachment, continues to shape low probabilities on related markets.** The opposition KMT and TPP launched proceedings in late 2025 over executive refusal to promulgate a revenue-sharing law, but the May 2026 floor vote received only 56 of 76 needed votes and failed—the first such attempt in Taiwan’s history. Additional constitutional steps, including two-thirds approval by the Constitutional Court amid ongoing quorum disputes, create further structural barriers. No new motion has advanced since. Upcoming November 2026 local elections could alter legislative dynamics or political pressure, while ongoing executive-legislative clashes over budgets, defense spending, and policy implementation remain the main sources of tension. Trader consensus reflects these high institutional thresholds and limited recent momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,359,010Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Taiwan’s divided government, with the opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan holding a slim majority but lacking the two-thirds supermajority required for presidential impeachment, continues to shape low probabilities on related markets.** The opposition KMT and TPP launched proceedings in late 2025 over executive refusal to promulgate a revenue-sharing law, but the May 2026 floor vote received only 56 of 76 needed votes and failed—the first such attempt in Taiwan’s history. Additional constitutional steps, including two-thirds approval by the Constitutional Court amid ongoing quorum disputes, create further structural barriers. No new motion has advanced since. Upcoming November 2026 local elections could alter legislative dynamics or political pressure, while ongoing executive-legislative clashes over budgets, defense spending, and policy implementation remain the main sources of tension. Trader consensus reflects these high institutional thresholds and limited recent momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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