**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.** High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 giugno?
22°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
16 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
16 giu 2026
18°C o inferiore
$1,931 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,109 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,660 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,792 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,907 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$8,694 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,834 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,109 Vol.
No
26°C
$551 Vol.
No
27°C
$288 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$410 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.**
High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$24,287Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.**
High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,287Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.** High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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