Skip to main content
Market icon
Sport·American League

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner

Market icon
Sport·American League

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner

Gunnar Henderson 25%

Aaron Judge 21.6%

Cal Raleigh 16%

Bobby Witt Jr. 12%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Gunnar Henderson 25%

Aaron Judge 21.6%

Cal Raleigh 16%

Bobby Witt Jr. 12%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Gunnar Henderson

$0 Vol.

25%

Aaron Judge

$217 Vol.

22%

Cal Raleigh

$3,332 Vol.

14%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$109 Vol.

12%

Yordan Alvarez

$0 Vol.

10%

José Ramírez

$0 Vol.

7%

Nick Kurtz

$0 Vol.

7%

Julio Rodríguez

$0 Vol.

6%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$0 Vol.

6%

Corey Seager

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 19.6% implied probability, fueled by his early-season tie for the home run lead with six alongside Gunnar Henderson and Yordan Alvarez, plus his Yankee Stadium power advantage and track record as a past HR king and MVP. The race stays tightly bunched—Cal Raleigh at 13.5%, Henderson at 12.5%, and Bobby Witt Jr. at 12.0%—due to their strong projections from FanGraphs (Judge, Witt, Henderson topping AL hitters) and hot starts: Raleigh's catcher power yielding high OPS, Witt's batting average and stolen base upside, and Henderson's Orioles lineup protection. Reigning AL Rookie of the Year Nick Kurtz (6.5%) adds intrigue with his 2025 breakout (36 HR), while full-season factors like injuries, slumps, and schedule strength keep the field wide open just two weeks in.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,658
Data di fine
13 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award at 19.6% implied probability, fueled by his early-season tie for the home run lead with six alongside Gunnar Henderson and Yordan Alvarez, plus his Yankee Stadium power advantage and track record as a past HR king and MVP. The race stays tightly bunched—Cal Raleigh at 13.5%, Henderson at 12.5%, and Bobby Witt Jr. at 12.0%—due to their strong projections from FanGraphs (Judge, Witt, Henderson topping AL hitters) and hot starts: Raleigh's catcher power yielding high OPS, Witt's batting average and stolen base upside, and Henderson's Orioles lineup protection. Reigning AL Rookie of the Year Nick Kurtz (6.5%) adds intrigue with his 2025 breakout (36 HR), while full-season factors like injuries, slumps, and schedule strength keep the field wide open just two weeks in.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,658
Data di fine
13 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Aaron Judge" a 22%, seguito da "Cal Raleigh" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 22¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 22% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Feb 19, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner" è "Aaron Judge" a 22%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 22% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Cal Raleigh" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.