Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.9% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 in the $410–$420 range, with 33.1% for above $420, reflecting a sharp recovery from $378.62 on April 13 to $411.22 on April 15 amid a broader tech rally that pushed the S&P 500 above 7,000 and Nasdaq to records, erasing recent Iran-related geopolitical losses. Elevated trading volume and pre-market gains to $419.26 signal momentum, though skepticism around AI leadership—highlighted by analyst commentary—caps upside bets. Lower bins below $400 have faded as shares rebounded 8–10% mid-week, with focus shifting to the April 29 earnings release for Azure growth and margin updates amid high analyst targets averaging $580.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$400-$410 32.0%
$370-$380 9.0%
$380-$390 4.1%
$390-$400 3.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
<$330
<1%
$330-$340
1%
$340-$350
<1%
$350-$360
<1%
$360-$370
1%
$370-$380
8%
$380-$390
4%
$390-$400
4%
$400-$410
17%
$410-$420
55%
>$420
39%
$400-$410 32.0%
$370-$380 9.0%
$380-$390 4.1%
$390-$400 3.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
<$330
$253 Vol.
<1%
$330-$340
$289 Vol.
1%
$340-$350
$228 Vol.
<1%
$350-$360
$213 Vol.
<1%
$360-$370
$532 Vol.
1%
$370-$380
$543 Vol.
8%
$380-$390
$55 Vol.
4%
$390-$400
$856 Vol.
4%
$400-$410
$32 Vol.
17%
$410-$420
$140 Vol.
55%
>$420
$56 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.9% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 in the $410–$420 range, with 33.1% for above $420, reflecting a sharp recovery from $378.62 on April 13 to $411.22 on April 15 amid a broader tech rally that pushed the S&P 500 above 7,000 and Nasdaq to records, erasing recent Iran-related geopolitical losses. Elevated trading volume and pre-market gains to $419.26 signal momentum, though skepticism around AI leadership—highlighted by analyst commentary—caps upside bets. Lower bins below $400 have faded as shares rebounded 8–10% mid-week, with focus shifting to the April 29 earnings release for Azure growth and margin updates amid high analyst targets averaging $580.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercato aperto: Apr 10, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,197Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 10, 2026, 6:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.9% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 in the $410–$420 range, with 33.1% for above $420, reflecting a sharp recovery from $378.62 on April 13 to $411.22 on April 15 amid a broader tech rally that pushed the S&P 500 above 7,000 and Nasdaq to records, erasing recent Iran-related geopolitical losses. Elevated trading volume and pre-market gains to $419.26 signal momentum, though skepticism around AI leadership—highlighted by analyst commentary—caps upside bets. Lower bins below $400 have faded as shares rebounded 8–10% mid-week, with focus shifting to the April 29 earnings release for Azure growth and margin updates amid high analyst targets averaging $580.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$3,197Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 10, 2026, 6:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.9% implied probability for Microsoft (MSFT) shares closing the week of April 13 in the $410–$420 range, with 33.1% for above $420, reflecting a sharp recovery from $378.62 on April 13 to $411.22 on April 15 amid a broader tech rally that pushed the S&P 500 above 7,000 and Nasdaq to records, erasing recent Iran-related geopolitical losses. Elevated trading volume and pre-market gains to $419.26 signal momentum, though skepticism around AI leadership—highlighted by analyst commentary—caps upside bets. Lower bins below $400 have faded as shares rebounded 8–10% mid-week, with focus shifting to the April 29 earnings release for Azure growth and margin updates amid high analyst targets averaging $580.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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