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Sport·MLB

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

Market icon
Sport·MLB

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

0% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
0% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors "No" at 65.5% implied probability for a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, reflecting deep divisions over owners' push for a salary cap and floor opposed by the MLBPA, with no formal negotiations underway amid the ongoing 2026 season. The MLBPA's war chest swelled to $415 million by late March, signaling preparations for protracted bargaining similar to the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed the prior deal until March 2022. Absent recent meetings or breakthroughs in the past 30 days, historical patterns of post-season labor strife and preliminary fall 2025 talks stalling bolster skepticism of an on-time resolution before the current agreement's 11:59 p.m. ET expiration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,172
Data di fine
1 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors "No" at 65.5% implied probability for a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, reflecting deep divisions over owners' push for a salary cap and floor opposed by the MLBPA, with no formal negotiations underway amid the ongoing 2026 season. The MLBPA's war chest swelled to $415 million by late March, signaling preparations for protracted bargaining similar to the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed the prior deal until March 2022. Absent recent meetings or breakthroughs in the past 30 days, historical patterns of post-season labor strife and preliminary fall 2025 talks stalling bolster skepticism of an on-time resolution before the current agreement's 11:59 p.m. ET expiration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,172
Data di fine
1 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 35% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 35¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 35% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jan 20, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" è 35% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 35% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.