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icon for New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?
Sport·MLB

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

icon for New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?
Sport·MLB

New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?

43% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
43% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026 with sharply divergent opening proposals, including the league’s call for a hard salary cap and floor alongside a 50-50 revenue split. The MLB Players Association countered with higher minimum salaries, a soft spending floor on low-payroll clubs, and no cap, leaving the sides described as far apart on core economic issues. Historical precedent from the 2022 lockout, which delayed spring training for 99 days before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that an agreement will not be reached by the December 1 expiration. With both sides posturing publicly and no compromise signals yet, the current implied probability for no deal by the deadline reflects the likelihood of an impasse and subsequent lockout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Data di fine
1 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement opened in late May 2026 with sharply divergent opening proposals, including the league’s call for a hard salary cap and floor alongside a 50-50 revenue split. The MLB Players Association countered with higher minimum salaries, a soft spending floor on low-payroll clubs, and no cap, leaving the sides described as far apart on core economic issues. Historical precedent from the 2022 lockout, which delayed spring training for 99 days before a March resolution, reinforces trader expectations that an agreement will not be reached by the December 1 expiration. With both sides posturing publicly and no compromise signals yet, the current implied probability for no deal by the deadline reflects the likelihood of an impasse and subsequent lockout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,183
Data di fine
1 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 43% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 43¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jan 20, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" è 43% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 43% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.