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Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

icon for Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Il prossimo attore di James Bond?

Jack Lowden 22.6%

Nessun Bond scelto 21.1%

Placeholder 2 18.8%

Callum Turner 15%

Polymarket

$518,088 Vol.

Jack Lowden 22.6%

Nessun Bond scelto 21.1%

Placeholder 2 18.8%

Callum Turner 15%

Polymarket

$518,088 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$87,603 Vol.

23%

icon for Nessun Bond scelto

Nessun Bond scelto

$257,585 Vol.

21%

icon for Placeholder 2

Placeholder 2

$12,657 Vol.

19%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$44,842 Vol.

15%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$8,484 Vol.

6%

icon for Placeholder 6

Placeholder 6

$11,619 Vol.

3%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$21,325 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$5,224 Vol.

3%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$4,741 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$13,804 Vol.

1%

icon for Placeholder 7

Placeholder 7

$1,263 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$5,285 Vol.

<1%

icon for Placeholder 4

Placeholder 4

$1,764 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$8,442 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$5,695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$4,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$3,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Placeholder 5

Placeholder 5

$1,744 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$4,646 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$2,759 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$3,087 Vol.

<1%

icon for Placeholder 1

Placeholder 1

$1,685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Placeholder 3

Placeholder 3

$1,794 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$4,682 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Page Six reporting on a narrowed shortlist for the next 007 has driven trader sentiment, elevating relatively unknown Jack Barton as a surprise frontrunner after impressing director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, while boosting established names like Jack Lowden—fresh off mid-August podcast buzz from Richard Osman—and Callum Turner. Screen tests slated for September and producer Amy Pascal’s end-of-2026 announcement timeline keep “No Bond chosen” competitive, reflecting the methodical Amazon MGM process under Villeneuve. The tight spread among British actors in their 30s underscores industry preference for fresh faces who can sustain a long franchise run, with momentum hinging on audition outcomes and any late shifts in studio narrative.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$518,088
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Page Six reporting on a narrowed shortlist for the next 007 has driven trader sentiment, elevating relatively unknown Jack Barton as a surprise frontrunner after impressing director Denis Villeneuve and casting director Nina Gold, while boosting established names like Jack Lowden—fresh off mid-August podcast buzz from Richard Osman—and Callum Turner. Screen tests slated for September and producer Amy Pascal’s end-of-2026 announcement timeline keep “No Bond chosen” competitive, reflecting the methodical Amazon MGM process under Villeneuve. The tight spread among British actors in their 30s underscores industry preference for fresh faces who can sustain a long franchise run, with momentum hinging on audition outcomes and any late shifts in studio narrative.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$518,088
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 24 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jack Lowden" a 23%, seguito da "Nessun Bond scelto" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 23¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" ha generato $518.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?", esplora i 24 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" è "Jack Lowden" a 23%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessun Bond scelto" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo attore di James Bond?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.