The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTest/lancio di missili in Corea del Nord entro il 30 aprile 2026?
Test/lancio di missili in Corea del Nord entro il 30 aprile 2026?
Sì
$9,440 Vol.
$9,440 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Sì
$9,440 Vol.
$9,440 Vol.
30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Mercato aperto: Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Volume
$9,440Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$9,440Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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