Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$25,387 Vol.
$25,387 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
94%
Democratico
6%
$25,387 Vol.
$25,387 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$11,678 Vol.
94%
Democratico
$13,709 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$25,387Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,387Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 2026 gubernatorial race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Kevin Stitt reached term limits. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. Democratic nominee Cyndi Munson secured her primary, yet faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated recent executive contests. On the Republican side, Attorney General Gentner Drummond and Trump-endorsed Mike Mazzei advanced to the August 25 runoff, ensuring a competitive nominee selection before the November general election. The implied probability reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited crossover potential. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shifts, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such reversals remain low-probability events.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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