Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Maryland, a state with consistent Democratic majorities in registration and voting patterns. Recent polls show Moore holding leads of 20 points or more over Republican nominee Dan Cox, reflecting limited crossover support and the party's dominance in key population centers. Cox's primary victory over other challengers has not shifted broader dynamics, as historical results and current polling averages reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Factors that could narrow the margin include sustained voter concerns over taxes, affordability, or turnout shifts, though these have not yet altered the race's fundamentals with three months remaining.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$21,766 Vol.
$21,766 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
97%
Repubblicano
4%
$21,766 Vol.
$21,766 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratico
$12,732 Vol.
97%
Repubblicano
$9,034 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Maryland, a state with consistent Democratic majorities in registration and voting patterns. Recent polls show Moore holding leads of 20 points or more over Republican nominee Dan Cox, reflecting limited crossover support and the party's dominance in key population centers. Cox's primary victory over other challengers has not shifted broader dynamics, as historical results and current polling averages reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Factors that could narrow the margin include sustained voter concerns over taxes, affordability, or turnout shifts, though these have not yet altered the race's fundamentals with three months remaining.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$21,766Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Maryland, a state with consistent Democratic majorities in registration and voting patterns. Recent polls show Moore holding leads of 20 points or more over Republican nominee Dan Cox, reflecting limited crossover support and the party's dominance in key population centers. Cox's primary victory over other challengers has not shifted broader dynamics, as historical results and current polling averages reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Factors that could narrow the margin include sustained voter concerns over taxes, affordability, or turnout shifts, though these have not yet altered the race's fundamentals with three months remaining.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$21,766Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Maryland, a state with consistent Democratic majorities in registration and voting patterns. Recent polls show Moore holding leads of 20 points or more over Republican nominee Dan Cox, reflecting limited crossover support and the party's dominance in key population centers. Cox's primary victory over other challengers has not shifted broader dynamics, as historical results and current polling averages reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Factors that could narrow the margin include sustained voter concerns over taxes, affordability, or turnout shifts, though these have not yet altered the race's fundamentals with three months remaining.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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