OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath benchmark record in early March 2026, scoring 38% on Tier 4—research-level math problems that challenge expert mathematicians for weeks—while hitting 50% on Tiers 1-3, a leap from prior leaders like o3 at 2%. This demonstrated advance in large language model reasoning capabilities has fueled trader optimism, positioning OpenAI ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini 3.1 in mathematical benchmarks. With no public evaluations since, market-implied odds hinge on unannounced GPT-5.5 or successor releases before June 30; watch for developer previews or Epoch AI updates, as scaling laws suggest further gains but timelines remain uncertain amid competitive scaling races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$20,267 Vol.
28 feb 2026
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$20,267 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath benchmark record in early March 2026, scoring 38% on Tier 4—research-level math problems that challenge expert mathematicians for weeks—while hitting 50% on Tiers 1-3, a leap from prior leaders like o3 at 2%. This demonstrated advance in large language model reasoning capabilities has fueled trader optimism, positioning OpenAI ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini 3.1 in mathematical benchmarks. With no public evaluations since, market-implied odds hinge on unannounced GPT-5.5 or successor releases before June 30; watch for developer previews or Epoch AI updates, as scaling laws suggest further gains but timelines remain uncertain amid competitive scaling races.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$20,267Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath benchmark record in early March 2026, scoring 38% on Tier 4—research-level math problems that challenge expert mathematicians for weeks—while hitting 50% on Tiers 1-3, a leap from prior leaders like o3 at 2%. This demonstrated advance in large language model reasoning capabilities has fueled trader optimism, positioning OpenAI ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini 3.1 in mathematical benchmarks. With no public evaluations since, market-implied odds hinge on unannounced GPT-5.5 or successor releases before June 30; watch for developer previews or Epoch AI updates, as scaling laws suggest further gains but timelines remain uncertain amid competitive scaling races.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,267Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro set a FrontierMath benchmark record in early March 2026, scoring 38% on Tier 4—research-level math problems that challenge expert mathematicians for weeks—while hitting 50% on Tiers 1-3, a leap from prior leaders like o3 at 2%. This demonstrated advance in large language model reasoning capabilities has fueled trader optimism, positioning OpenAI ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 and Google's Gemini 3.1 in mathematical benchmarks. With no public evaluations since, market-implied odds hinge on unannounced GPT-5.5 or successor releases before June 30; watch for developer previews or Epoch AI updates, as scaling laws suggest further gains but timelines remain uncertain amid competitive scaling races.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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