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Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?

Market icon

Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?

apr 30

apr 30

<130mm 32%

140-150mm 28%

130-140 mm 26%

150-160 mm 13%

Polymarket

$28,810 Vol.

<130mm 32%

140-150mm 28%

130-140 mm 26%

150-160 mm 13%

Polymarket

$28,810 Vol.

<130mm

$13,245 Vol.

34%

130-140 mm

$5,213 Vol.

26%

140-150mm

$5,698 Vol.

23%

150-160 mm

$3,240 Vol.

14%

160-170 mm

$267 Vol.

4%

190-200 mm

$208 Vol.

2%

180-190

$265 Vol.

6%

190mm+

$674 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands at just 60mm through April 13—primarily from a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—well below the pace for the 153mm monthly normal, positioning the under-130mm outcome as trader consensus at 34% implied probability. This dry start, influenced by persistent easterly airstreams similar to March's unseasonably warm pattern, differentiates it from nearby 130-140mm (23.5%) and 140-150mm (21.5%) bins, which would require 70-90mm more over the final two weeks at roughly 5-6.5mm daily averages. Consolidation behind one leader hinges on forecasts for isolated showers versus sustained dry conditions or an early monsoon surge, with the seasonal outlook signaling normal to above-normal totals but current deficits tempering upside expectations.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,810
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Accumulated rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands at just 60mm through April 13—primarily from a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—well below the pace for the 153mm monthly normal, positioning the under-130mm outcome as trader consensus at 34% implied probability. This dry start, influenced by persistent easterly airstreams similar to March's unseasonably warm pattern, differentiates it from nearby 130-140mm (23.5%) and 140-150mm (21.5%) bins, which would require 70-90mm more over the final two weeks at roughly 5-6.5mm daily averages. Consolidation behind one leader hinges on forecasts for isolated showers versus sustained dry conditions or an early monsoon surge, with the seasonal outlook signaling normal to above-normal totals but current deficits tempering upside expectations.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,810
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Domande frequenti

"Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<130mm" a 34%, seguito da "130-140 mm" a 26%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 34¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?" ha generato $28.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 24, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?" è "<130mm" a 34%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 34% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "130-140 mm" a 26%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Precipitazioni a Hong Kong ad aprile?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.