Trader sentiment favors under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026 at 46.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through April 16—likely under 20mm amid persistent sunny conditions and scattered light showers only. A dominant high-pressure ridge has fueled unseasonal heat waves, with record highs suppressing moisture and frontal activity typical of spring. KMA short-range forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 30%) extending into late April, while ensemble models project limited influx from northern fronts. Historical April averages hover at 65-80mm, but current dry signals outweigh analogs; daily KMA updates through month-end could shift odds if unexpected systems develop. The 65-70mm outcome at 14.5% reflects residual uncertainty for late surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrecipitation in Seoul in April?
Precipitation in Seoul in April?
<40mm 46%
65-70mm 14%
75mm+ 14%
55-60mm 8%
$16,565 Vol.
$16,565 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<40mm
46%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
2%
50-55mm
8%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
14%
70-75mm
2%
75mm+
14%
<40mm 46%
65-70mm 14%
75mm+ 14%
55-60mm 8%
$16,565 Vol.
$16,565 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<40mm
$10,572 Vol.
46%
40-45mm
$250 Vol.
12%
45-50mm
$234 Vol.
2%
50-55mm
$1,684 Vol.
8%
55-60mm
$2,352 Vol.
8%
60-65mm
$182 Vol.
5%
65-70mm
$393 Vol.
14%
70-75mm
$211 Vol.
2%
75mm+
$688 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026 at 46.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through April 16—likely under 20mm amid persistent sunny conditions and scattered light showers only. A dominant high-pressure ridge has fueled unseasonal heat waves, with record highs suppressing moisture and frontal activity typical of spring. KMA short-range forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 30%) extending into late April, while ensemble models project limited influx from northern fronts. Historical April averages hover at 65-80mm, but current dry signals outweigh analogs; daily KMA updates through month-end could shift odds if unexpected systems develop. The 65-70mm outcome at 14.5% reflects residual uncertainty for late surges.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$16,565Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment favors under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026 at 46.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through April 16—likely under 20mm amid persistent sunny conditions and scattered light showers only. A dominant high-pressure ridge has fueled unseasonal heat waves, with record highs suppressing moisture and frontal activity typical of spring. KMA short-range forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 30%) extending into late April, while ensemble models project limited influx from northern fronts. Historical April averages hover at 65-80mm, but current dry signals outweigh analogs; daily KMA updates through month-end could shift odds if unexpected systems develop. The 65-70mm outcome at 14.5% reflects residual uncertainty for late surges.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,565Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026 at 46.5% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing minimal rainfall accumulation through April 16—likely under 20mm amid persistent sunny conditions and scattered light showers only. A dominant high-pressure ridge has fueled unseasonal heat waves, with record highs suppressing moisture and frontal activity typical of spring. KMA short-range forecasts indicate low precipitation probabilities (under 30%) extending into late April, while ensemble models project limited influx from northern fronts. Historical April averages hover at 65-80mm, but current dry signals outweigh analogs; daily KMA updates through month-end could shift odds if unexpected systems develop. The 65-70mm outcome at 14.5% reflects residual uncertainty for late surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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