The S&P 500 trades near 7,712 as of late August 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid record highs above 7,800. Robust corporate earnings, propelled by AI-driven capital expenditures from hyperscalers and tech suppliers, represent the dominant positive driver, with consensus forecasts pointing to 17-30% EPS growth for full-year 2026. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50-3.75% range under Chair Warsh, adopting a hawkish stance focused on returning inflation to 2% while downplaying near-term cuts. Key upcoming releases including the September jobs report, CPI, and FOMC meeting will shape rate expectations and Treasury yields, which remain elevated and exert valuation pressure at forward P/Es near 20x. Geopolitical easing and resilient economic data have supported risk appetite, though sticky inflation or disappointing AI returns could introduce volatility through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$329,661 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $10,000
4%
↑ 9.300 $
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ $8.600
11%
↑ $8.200
32%
↑ $8,000
46%
↓ $7,400
62%
↓ $7,200
71%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6.200
16%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ $5.800
9%
↓ $5.200
7%
↓ $4.500
3%
$329,661 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
4%
↑ 9.300 $
$9,473 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
5%
↑ $8.600
$30,449 Vol.
11%
↑ $8.200
$22,891 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
46%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
71%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6.200
$47,563 Vol.
16%
↓ $6,000
$2,779 Vol.
14%
↓ $5.800
$41,240 Vol.
9%
↓ $5.200
$54,788 Vol.
7%
↓ $4.500
$59,566 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near 7,712 as of late August 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid record highs above 7,800. Robust corporate earnings, propelled by AI-driven capital expenditures from hyperscalers and tech suppliers, represent the dominant positive driver, with consensus forecasts pointing to 17-30% EPS growth for full-year 2026. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50-3.75% range under Chair Warsh, adopting a hawkish stance focused on returning inflation to 2% while downplaying near-term cuts. Key upcoming releases including the September jobs report, CPI, and FOMC meeting will shape rate expectations and Treasury yields, which remain elevated and exert valuation pressure at forward P/Es near 20x. Geopolitical easing and resilient economic data have supported risk appetite, though sticky inflation or disappointing AI returns could introduce volatility through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$329,661Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near 7,712 as of late August 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid record highs above 7,800. Robust corporate earnings, propelled by AI-driven capital expenditures from hyperscalers and tech suppliers, represent the dominant positive driver, with consensus forecasts pointing to 17-30% EPS growth for full-year 2026. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50-3.75% range under Chair Warsh, adopting a hawkish stance focused on returning inflation to 2% while downplaying near-term cuts. Key upcoming releases including the September jobs report, CPI, and FOMC meeting will shape rate expectations and Treasury yields, which remain elevated and exert valuation pressure at forward P/Es near 20x. Geopolitical easing and resilient economic data have supported risk appetite, though sticky inflation or disappointing AI returns could introduce volatility through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$329,661Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Risolutore
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 trades near 7,712 as of late August 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid record highs above 7,800. Robust corporate earnings, propelled by AI-driven capital expenditures from hyperscalers and tech suppliers, represent the dominant positive driver, with consensus forecasts pointing to 17-30% EPS growth for full-year 2026. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate steady in the 3.50-3.75% range under Chair Warsh, adopting a hawkish stance focused on returning inflation to 2% while downplaying near-term cuts. Key upcoming releases including the September jobs report, CPI, and FOMC meeting will shape rate expectations and Treasury yields, which remain elevated and exert valuation pressure at forward P/Es near 20x. Geopolitical easing and resilient economic data have supported risk appetite, though sticky inflation or disappointing AI returns could introduce volatility through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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