Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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31 dic 2026
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$2,846Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,846Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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