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Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

Market icon
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?

<336k 60%

338 - 340k 18%

340 - 342k 14%

342 - 344k 8.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<336k 60%

338 - 340k 18%

340 - 342k 14%

342 - 344k 8.2%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<336k

$1,317 Vol.

44%

336 - 338k

$78 Vol.

44%

338 - 340k

$78 Vol.

18%

340 - 342k

$155 Vol.

14%

342 - 344k

$138 Vol.

8%

344 - 346k

$78 Vol.

3%

346 - 348k

$78 Vol.

3%

>348k

$88 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Volume
$2,008
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest for Chicago's median home value on April 30, with sub-$336,000 at 45% implied probability edging out the $336,000–$338,000 band at 42%, reflecting uncertainty over persistent low inventory amid elevated mortgage rates near 6.8%. Recent Zillow data pegs March median sale prices at $334,250, up modestly year-over-year but pressured by sluggish sales volume and a 0.99 sale-to-list ratio signaling limited price negotiation power for buyers. Low for-sale inventory (4,645 units) and new listings (1,718) underpin firmness, yet affordability strains from high rates cap upside; spring buying momentum or Federal Reserve signals on cuts could tip the balance higher into the 338k+ ranges by month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)
Volume
$2,008
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/30)

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Domande frequenti

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<336k" a 44%, seguito da "336 - 338k" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" è "<336k" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "336 - 338k" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.