Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the 30-year mortgage rate hitting key thresholds in 2026, with current averages at 6.38% as of April 16, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield of 4.26%. March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—prompting a temporary rate spike before stabilization, as the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18 amid persistent shelter costs. This skin-in-the-game pricing incorporates base rates near historical mid-6% levels post-2022 hikes. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI data for shifts in monetary policy expectations, alongside geopolitical risks influencing yields.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl tasso ipotecario a 30 anni raggiungerà __ nel 2026?
Il tasso ipotecario a 30 anni raggiungerà __ nel 2026?
$43,525 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ 7,00%
51%
↑ 6,75%
49%
↑ 6,50%
50%
↓ 5,90%
37%
↓ 5,70%
41%
↓ 5,50%
55%
$43,525 Vol.
↑ 7,00%
$16 Vol.
51%
↑ 6,75%
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 6,50%
$6,607 Vol.
50%
↓ 5,90%
$0 Vol.
37%
↓ 5,70%
$6,769 Vol.
41%
↓ 5,50%
$21 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the 30-year mortgage rate hitting key thresholds in 2026, with current averages at 6.38% as of April 16, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield of 4.26%. March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—prompting a temporary rate spike before stabilization, as the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18 amid persistent shelter costs. This skin-in-the-game pricing incorporates base rates near historical mid-6% levels post-2022 hikes. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI data for shifts in monetary policy expectations, alongside geopolitical risks influencing yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$43,525Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the 30-year mortgage rate hitting key thresholds in 2026, with current averages at 6.38% as of April 16, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield of 4.26%. March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—prompting a temporary rate spike before stabilization, as the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18 amid persistent shelter costs. This skin-in-the-game pricing incorporates base rates near historical mid-6% levels post-2022 hikes. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI data for shifts in monetary policy expectations, alongside geopolitical risks influencing yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$43,525Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for the 30-year mortgage rate hitting key thresholds in 2026, with current averages at 6.38% as of April 16, closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield of 4.26%. March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—up from February's 2.4%—prompting a temporary rate spike before stabilization, as the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% on March 18 amid persistent shelter costs. This skin-in-the-game pricing incorporates base rates near historical mid-6% levels post-2022 hikes. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and forthcoming CPI data for shifts in monetary policy expectations, alongside geopolitical risks influencing yields.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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