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Economy·Nascondi Da Nuovo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

Market icon
Economy·Nascondi Da Nuovo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?

433 - 435k 23%

431 - 433k 19%

435 - 437k 15%

<429k 15%

Polymarket
NUOVO

433 - 435k 23%

431 - 433k 19%

435 - 437k 15%

<429k 15%

Polymarket
NUOVO

<429k

$1,185 Vol.

15%

429 - 431k

$326 Vol.

14%

431 - 433k

$124 Vol.

19%

433 - 435k

$341 Vol.

22%

435 - 437k

$56 Vol.

15%

437 - 439k

$0 Vol.

9%

439 - 441k

$5 Vol.

6%

>441k

$23 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24) Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around $431,000–$437,000 for U.S. median home value on April 30, with the 433–435k bin leading at 21.5% implied probability amid modest monthly gains in recent Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data—up 0.6% month-over-month to $365,545 in March—and NAR's March median existing-home sales price of $408,800, up 1.4% year-over-year despite a 3.6% sales drop to 3.98 million units. Rising inventory (4.1 months' supply) and softening new listings signal decelerating momentum, differentiating outcomes based on April transaction volume and persistent 6–7% mortgage rates curbing demand. FHFA's January price rise of 0.1% reinforces low-growth trajectory, with resolution hinging on end-month ZHVI update.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volume
$2,060
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24) Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around $431,000–$437,000 for U.S. median home value on April 30, with the 433–435k bin leading at 21.5% implied probability amid modest monthly gains in recent Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data—up 0.6% month-over-month to $365,545 in March—and NAR's March median existing-home sales price of $408,800, up 1.4% year-over-year despite a 3.6% sales drop to 3.98 million units. Rising inventory (4.1 months' supply) and softening new listings signal decelerating momentum, differentiating outcomes based on April transaction volume and persistent 6–7% mortgage rates curbing demand. FHFA's January price rise of 0.1% reinforces low-growth trajectory, with resolution hinging on end-month ZHVI update.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volume
$2,060
Data di fine
30 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

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"What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "433 - 435k" a 22%, seguito da "431 - 433k" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 22¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 22% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Mar 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?" è "433 - 435k" a 22%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 22% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "431 - 433k" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "What will the median home value in the US be on April 30?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.