Barcelona leads the implied probability at 84% because Rodri has agreed personal terms with the club, publicly signaled his preference to return to La Liga, and Barcelona have submitted multiple improving bids that Manchester City rejected while valuing the Spain captain above €70 million. Ongoing negotiations and Rodri's refusal to force an exit keep momentum with the Catalans, who see the move as nearing completion. Manchester City's 9.5% reflects the slim chance he stays to run down his contract, while Real Madrid's 1.8% captures their fading interest after early speculation. Other clubs sit at negligible levels due to the absence of credible links or comparable offers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si trasferirà Rodri?
Barcellona 84.1%
Manchester City 9.4%
Real Madrid 1.8%
Paris Saint-Germain <1%
$635,093 Vol.
$635,093 Vol.
Barcellona
84%
Manchester City
9%
Real Madrid
2%
Paris Saint-Germain
<1%
Al-Hilal
<1%
Barcellona 84.1%
Manchester City 9.4%
Real Madrid 1.8%
Paris Saint-Germain <1%
$635,093 Vol.
$635,093 Vol.
Barcellona
84%
Manchester City
9%
Real Madrid
2%
Paris Saint-Germain
<1%
Al-Hilal
<1%
If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Rodri does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Rodri joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Rodri is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Barcelona leads the implied probability at 84% because Rodri has agreed personal terms with the club, publicly signaled his preference to return to La Liga, and Barcelona have submitted multiple improving bids that Manchester City rejected while valuing the Spain captain above €70 million. Ongoing negotiations and Rodri's refusal to force an exit keep momentum with the Catalans, who see the move as nearing completion. Manchester City's 9.5% reflects the slim chance he stays to run down his contract, while Real Madrid's 1.8% captures their fading interest after early speculation. Other clubs sit at negligible levels due to the absence of credible links or comparable offers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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