Trader consensus heavily favors "None" at 97.4% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—only Steffi Graf achieved it in the Open Era amid today's WTA depth, surface diversity (hard, clay, grass, hard), and injury risks across four majors. Elena Rybakina's Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka in January, her second Grand Slam title, combined with a 21-5 record and No. 2 ranking entering clay season, earns her 2.5% as the slim leader, bolstered by strong hardcourt and grass history (Wimbledon 2022). Challenges include her clay inconsistencies ahead of Roland Garros against specialists like Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff, potential fatigue, tough draws, or withdrawals that could derail a sweep through French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,565,907 Vol.
$1,565,907 Vol.
Nessuno
97%
Elena Rybakina
3%
$1,565,907 Vol.
$1,565,907 Vol.
Nessuno
97%
Elena Rybakina
3%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors "None" at 97.4% implied probability for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—only Steffi Graf achieved it in the Open Era amid today's WTA depth, surface diversity (hard, clay, grass, hard), and injury risks across four majors. Elena Rybakina's Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka in January, her second Grand Slam title, combined with a 21-5 record and No. 2 ranking entering clay season, earns her 2.5% as the slim leader, bolstered by strong hardcourt and grass history (Wimbledon 2022). Challenges include her clay inconsistencies ahead of Roland Garros against specialists like Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff, potential fatigue, tough draws, or withdrawals that could derail a sweep through French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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