Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign has fueled a series of high-level purges in 2026, with the April 3 ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, Xinjiang party secretary, for "serious violations of discipline"—the third such Politburo removal in six months—driving recent trader focus on elite accountability. This follows January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairs Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, plus the February dismissal of nine military lawmakers ahead of the March Two Sessions, where additional generals were absent or removed. These opaque Central Commission for Discipline Inspection actions underscore efforts to enforce cadre loyalty amid opaque elite politics, with traders eyeing potential further targets like remaining Politburo or CMC figures before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$125,532 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
17%
Li Xi
10%
Wang Yi
7%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
6%
Cai Qi
5%
Wang Huning
3%
Ding Xuexiang
3%
Li Qiang
1%
$125,532 Vol.
Dong Jun
$21,652 Vol.
17%
Li Xi
$17,249 Vol.
10%
Wang Yi
$9,694 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$18,828 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$6,719 Vol.
6%
Cai Qi
$26,460 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$6,747 Vol.
3%
Ding Xuexiang
$13,164 Vol.
3%
Li Qiang
$5,019 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign has fueled a series of high-level purges in 2026, with the April 3 ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, Xinjiang party secretary, for "serious violations of discipline"—the third such Politburo removal in six months—driving recent trader focus on elite accountability. This follows January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairs Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, plus the February dismissal of nine military lawmakers ahead of the March Two Sessions, where additional generals were absent or removed. These opaque Central Commission for Discipline Inspection actions underscore efforts to enforce cadre loyalty amid opaque elite politics, with traders eyeing potential further targets like remaining Politburo or CMC figures before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$125,532Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign has fueled a series of high-level purges in 2026, with the April 3 ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, Xinjiang party secretary, for "serious violations of discipline"—the third such Politburo removal in six months—driving recent trader focus on elite accountability. This follows January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairs Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, plus the February dismissal of nine military lawmakers ahead of the March Two Sessions, where additional generals were absent or removed. These opaque Central Commission for Discipline Inspection actions underscore efforts to enforce cadre loyalty amid opaque elite politics, with traders eyeing potential further targets like remaining Politburo or CMC figures before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$125,532Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's intensifying anti-corruption campaign has fueled a series of high-level purges in 2026, with the April 3 ouster of Politburo member Ma Xingrui, Xinjiang party secretary, for "serious violations of discipline"—the third such Politburo removal in six months—driving recent trader focus on elite accountability. This follows January investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairs Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, plus the February dismissal of nine military lawmakers ahead of the March Two Sessions, where additional generals were absent or removed. These opaque Central Commission for Discipline Inspection actions underscore efforts to enforce cadre loyalty amid opaque elite politics, with traders eyeing potential further targets like remaining Politburo or CMC figures before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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