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icon for Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

icon for Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

Ended: mar 31

Ended: mar 31

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$23,253 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$23,253 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for "No" on NewJeans performing by March 31, driven by the K-pop group's prolonged hiatus amid the unresolved HYBE-ADOR legal saga. Court rulings in late 2025 upheld their contracts through 2029 but failed to spur activities, with industry analysts citing rebuild needs delaying any full-fledged comeback until the second half of 2026 at earliest. November 2025 reports of all five members returning to ADOR generated brief optimism, but no music releases, stages, or tours materialized, compounded by February 2026 disputes over Min Hee-jin's buyout. While the group briefly performed as NJZ in early 2026, this doesn't qualify under market resolution for NewJeans branding. With the deadline passed, realistic upsets are negligible barring an improbable last-second clarification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.

Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.

The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,253
Data di fine
31 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for "No" on NewJeans performing by March 31, driven by the K-pop group's prolonged hiatus amid the unresolved HYBE-ADOR legal saga. Court rulings in late 2025 upheld their contracts through 2029 but failed to spur activities, with industry analysts citing rebuild needs delaying any full-fledged comeback until the second half of 2026 at earliest. November 2025 reports of all five members returning to ADOR generated brief optimism, but no music releases, stages, or tours materialized, compounded by February 2026 disputes over Min Hee-jin's buyout. While the group briefly performed as NJZ in early 2026, this doesn't qualify under market resolution for NewJeans branding. With the deadline passed, realistic upsets are negligible barring an improbable last-second clarification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.

Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.

The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,253
Data di fine
31 mar 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Domande frequenti

"Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?" ha generato $23.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.