Russian forces continue incremental advances in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, with daily attacks northwest near Hryshyne toward Shevchenko village over the past week, but ISW assessments as of April 15 confirm no geolocated gains into Shevchenko itself, which remains under Ukrainian control. This reflects attritional frontline fighting since mid-March, where Russian troops target logistics hubs like Pokrovsk amid Ukrainian counterattacks and drone advantages, slowing Moscow's momentum despite manpower superiority. Trader consensus weighs the pace of these ground operations against potential spring escalations, Ukrainian reinforcements from recent aid packages, and Zelensky's negotiation signals, with resolution tied to ISW map shading of Shevchenko coordinates. Upcoming clashes or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip territorial control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa Russia entrerà a Shevchenko entro...?
La Russia entrerà a Shevchenko entro...?
$24,742 Vol.
30 apr 2026
30 aprile
21%
$24,742 Vol.
30 aprile
$14,974 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, (48.384157880601364° N, 37.10809761679785° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental advances in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, with daily attacks northwest near Hryshyne toward Shevchenko village over the past week, but ISW assessments as of April 15 confirm no geolocated gains into Shevchenko itself, which remains under Ukrainian control. This reflects attritional frontline fighting since mid-March, where Russian troops target logistics hubs like Pokrovsk amid Ukrainian counterattacks and drone advantages, slowing Moscow's momentum despite manpower superiority. Trader consensus weighs the pace of these ground operations against potential spring escalations, Ukrainian reinforcements from recent aid packages, and Zelensky's negotiation signals, with resolution tied to ISW map shading of Shevchenko coordinates. Upcoming clashes or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip territorial control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, (48.384157880601364° N, 37.10809761679785° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Mar 12, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volume
$24,742Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 12, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, (48.384157880601364° N, 37.10809761679785° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental advances in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, with daily attacks northwest near Hryshyne toward Shevchenko village over the past week, but ISW assessments as of April 15 confirm no geolocated gains into Shevchenko itself, which remains under Ukrainian control. This reflects attritional frontline fighting since mid-March, where Russian troops target logistics hubs like Pokrovsk amid Ukrainian counterattacks and drone advantages, slowing Moscow's momentum despite manpower superiority. Trader consensus weighs the pace of these ground operations against potential spring escalations, Ukrainian reinforcements from recent aid packages, and Zelensky's negotiation signals, with resolution tied to ISW map shading of Shevchenko coordinates. Upcoming clashes or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip territorial control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, (48.384157880601364° N, 37.10809761679785° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$24,742Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 12, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental advances in the Pokrovsk direction of Donetsk Oblast, with daily attacks northwest near Hryshyne toward Shevchenko village over the past week, but ISW assessments as of April 15 confirm no geolocated gains into Shevchenko itself, which remains under Ukrainian control. This reflects attritional frontline fighting since mid-March, where Russian troops target logistics hubs like Pokrovsk amid Ukrainian counterattacks and drone advantages, slowing Moscow's momentum despite manpower superiority. Trader consensus weighs the pace of these ground operations against potential spring escalations, Ukrainian reinforcements from recent aid packages, and Zelensky's negotiation signals, with resolution tied to ISW map shading of Shevchenko coordinates. Upcoming clashes or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip territorial control.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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