President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump parlerà con Mojtaba Khamenei entro...?
Trump parlerà con Mojtaba Khamenei entro...?
$355,294 Vol.
30 apr 2026
30 aprile
1%
30 giugno
6%
$355,294 Vol.
30 aprile
$85,383 Vol.
1%
30 giugno
$23,182 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volume
$355,294Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$355,294Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has publicly questioned whether Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—appointed in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death—holds real authority or is even alive, repeatedly stating he does not consider him the leader and confirming no direct contact amid broader US-Iran negotiations. This skepticism, voiced in March interviews and briefings, drives trader consensus on low odds for a personal talk by the April 30 resolution date. Recent indirect diplomacy includes Iranian negotiators attending peace talks in Islamabad last week under a fragile ceasefire reached via intermediaries, as reported eight days ago, alongside US warnings of potential resumed strikes if discussions collapse. No verified direct engagement has occurred, with former Trump officials asserting Khamenei's limited influence amid IRGC dominance; upcoming talks could shift dynamics but face hurdles from mutual defiance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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