Trump's 2026 diplomatic calendar centers on multilateral summits and bilateral engagements amid ongoing negotiations over the Iran conflict, Ukraine talks, and trade supply chains. High-probability outcomes reflect confirmed or expected encounters at the G7 in France, NATO, APEC, and G20 gatherings, plus state visits and calls with figures such as Xi Jinping, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, European leaders including Friedrich Merz and Keir Starmer, and Middle East counterparts. Recent May state visit to China and June G7 bilaterals with Macron, el-Sisi, and Modi established momentum, while domestic travel and policy meetings in August have kept focus on scheduled fall events in Ireland and potential outreach to additional counterparts. Trader consensus incorporates historical patterns of direct leader engagement during active foreign policy initiatives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKing Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
Morocco's King Mohammed VI named a major expressway after Donald Trump, reflecting strong bilateral ties and signaling ongoing diplomatic engagement between the two leaders.
Trump announces plan to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
President Donald Trump publicly stated his intention to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving prospects of direct diplomacy between the two leaders.
Trump announces plans to meet North Korea's Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 35%23%
President Trump publicly stated his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing their personal relationship and diplomatic gestures, which significantly increased market confidence in the meeting.
Donald Trump announces plan to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 36%24%
Trump publicly stated his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving prospects of a summit and impacting market pricing for their meeting.
Trump says he will meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 37%25%
Trump publicly announced his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving hopes of direct diplomacy and causing a significant increase in market probability for their meeting.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House to seal major defense and investment deals
Trump hosted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, marking a renewed phase in US-Saudi relations with major arms sales and investment agreements, confirming a high-profile meeting in 2026.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%6%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman again in Washington, underscoring a close strategic partnership with major arms and investment agenda, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the “Donald J. Trump Highway” as a symbol of deep friendship and strategic partnership between Morocco and the United States under Trump’s leadership.
Donald Trump holds 90-minute phone call with Vladimir Putin offering to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 38%5%
Trump's lengthy call with Putin, offering assistance to resolve the Ukraine conflict, demonstrated active engagement between the two leaders, affecting market expectations of a possible meeting in 2026.
Trump holds 90-minute call with Putin, offers to help end Ukraine war
Trump spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin for nearly 90 minutes, offering assistance to resolve the Ukraine conflict, which influenced market perceptions of a possible meeting.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway' in recognition of Trump's support for Moroccan sovereignty, symbolizing strong bilateral ties and boosting market confidence in a meeting.
Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman rises to 66%4%
President Donald Trump hosted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, discussing major arms deals and investment plans, reinforcing their strategic partnership.
King Mohammed VI names Morocco’s Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, with Trump expressing gratitude and anticipation of visiting the highway, reflecting close ties but not a confirmed meeting.
Russian President Vladimir Putin visits China for talks with Xi Jinping
Vladimir Putin jumps to 65%8%
Putin's visit to China shortly after Trump's visit reinforced Beijing's role as a global pivot and influenced market perceptions of Putin's diplomatic activity and potential meetings with Trump in 2026.
Donald Trump visits China and meets with President Xi Jinping
Trump's visit to China and meeting with Xi Jinping in May 2026 signaled ongoing high-level diplomatic engagement, indirectly affecting expectations for meetings with other leaders like Putin and impacting the market for related outcomes.
Lukashenko sets terms for potential meeting with Trump, emphasizing need for comprehensive deal
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko stated he would meet US President Donald Trump once a comprehensive 'big deal' covering broad issues beyond sanctions relief is finalized.
Lukashenko says meeting with Trump possible once 'big deal' is ready
Aleksandr Lukashenko jumps to 26%6%
Belarusian President Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump after finalizing a comprehensive agreement, sustaining market expectations for a meeting in 2026.
Belarusian President Lukashenko states readiness to meet Trump once a 'big deal' is prepared
Aleksandr Lukashenko jumps to 25%5%
Lukashenko publicly declared willingness to meet Trump after finalizing a comprehensive agreement, reinforcing market anticipation of their meeting in 2026.
Belarusian President Lukashenko says meeting with Trump possible once 'big deal' is ready
Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump after a comprehensive deal is finalized, signaling ongoing diplomatic progress and affecting market expectations for their meeting.
Belarus releases 250 political prisoners after US envoy talks
Aleksandr Lukashenko jumps to 23%5%
Following negotiations led by Trump's envoy John Coale, Belarus released 250 political prisoners, improving diplomatic relations and increasing the likelihood of a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
US Special Envoy John Coale negotiates with Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko leading to prisoner releases
Aleksandr Lukashenko surges to 68%45%
Negotiations led by Trump's envoy John Coale with Lukashenko resulted in the release of political prisoners and set the stage for a potential Trump-Lukashenko meeting contingent on a 'big deal', influencing market expectations.
US envoy negotiates release of 250 political prisoners in Belarus, paving way for Trump-Lukashenko meeting
Aleksandr Lukashenko surges to 66%46%
US envoy John Coale secured the release of 250 detainees from Belarus, leading to increased prospects of a meeting between Trump and Belarusian leader Lukashenko, which influenced market prices.
Trump praises Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez amid oil partnership
Trump lauded Delcy Rodríguez's cooperation and the start of oil flows between Venezuela and the US, signaling strong bilateral ties and increasing market confidence in a meeting.
Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 16%35%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's acting president, signaling warming relations and raising market expectations for a future meeting.
Donald Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 17%34%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting, impacting the market's view on their potential encounter.
Trump and Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 16%35%
Donald Trump and Delcy Rodríguez confirmed a long, productive, and respectful phone call discussing bilateral work agendas and pending issues, signaling improved relations.
Trump says he plans to meet with Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 17%34%
President Trump publicly stated he intends to meet with Delcy Rodríguez, the acting president of Venezuela, signaling warming relations and potential in-person engagement in 2026.
Trump indicates possibility of meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 16%35%
Donald Trump stated there was a possibility of meeting in person with Delcy Rodríguez, the acting president of Venezuela, highlighting ongoing communication and cooperation between the two.
Trump says he may meet with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 19%32%
Trump publicly stated the possibility of meeting Delcy Rodríguez, highlighting improved relations and cooperation on oil and political matters, which increased market confidence in a meeting.
Trump indicates possible future meeting with Venezuela’s Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 15%36%
President Trump stated he might meet with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s acting president, highlighting ongoing diplomatic engagement and cooperation on energy and political issues, though no confirmed meeting date was set.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%14%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman with full ceremonial honors, discussing business, peace, AI, and defense deals including F-35 sales, signaling a strong US-Saudi partnership and raising the probability of their meeting in 2026.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 69%15%
President Trump welcomed Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to the White House with full ceremonial honors, emphasizing a close strategic partnership and discussing major arms and investment deals, which boosted market confidence in their meeting.
President Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%14%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman with full ceremonial honors and announced major defense and investment deals, signaling a strong strategic partnership and increasing the likelihood of a meeting in 2026.
President Donald Trump meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 70%16%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, marking a significant diplomatic event with discussions on defense deals and regional diplomacy, boosting market confidence in their meeting.
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