Trader consensus on USD/JPY reflects a sustained US-Japan interest rate differential, with 10-year Treasury yields at 4.3% versus Japan Government Bond yields near 2.4%, anchoring the pair around 159 amid key support at 158. The March 2026 US CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—driven by 10.9% energy gains, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's pause at the 3.5%-3.75% fed funds target and curbing rate cut bets. Japan's February CPI eased to 1.3%, limiting Bank of Japan hikes from 0.75%. Upcoming FOMC (April 28-29) and BoJ (April 26-27) meetings loom as catalysts, alongside Treasury yield trends and yen intervention risks, shaping 2026 path probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$19,288 Vol.
↑200
7%
↑190
9%
↑180
14%
↑175
18%
↑170
25%
↑165
63%
↓150
48%
↓140
20%
↓130
11%
↓120
25%
↓110
5%
$19,288 Vol.
↑200
7%
↑190
9%
↑180
14%
↑175
18%
↑170
25%
↑165
63%
↓150
48%
↓140
20%
↓130
11%
↓120
25%
↓110
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on USD/JPY reflects a sustained US-Japan interest rate differential, with 10-year Treasury yields at 4.3% versus Japan Government Bond yields near 2.4%, anchoring the pair around 159 amid key support at 158. The March 2026 US CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—driven by 10.9% energy gains, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's pause at the 3.5%-3.75% fed funds target and curbing rate cut bets. Japan's February CPI eased to 1.3%, limiting Bank of Japan hikes from 0.75%. Upcoming FOMC (April 28-29) and BoJ (April 26-27) meetings loom as catalysts, alongside Treasury yield trends and yen intervention risks, shaping 2026 path probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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