EUR/USD trades near 1.1630 amid expectations that the ECB will raise its deposit rate 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10, while the Fed’s September 15-16 decision carries roughly 58-61% odds of a matching hike following stronger-than-expected August nonfarm payrolls. Persistent Eurozone inflation above 3%—driven by elevated energy prices from the US-Iran conflict—supports further ECB tightening, narrowing the policy gap with the Fed’s 3.50-3.75% target range. Upcoming US CPI and PPI releases will refine rate-path pricing, with trader positioning reflecting the relative attractiveness of dollar versus euro yields and broader risk sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$89,278 Vol.
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
6%
↑ 1,26
6%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
28%
↑ 1,20
32%
↓ 1,12
31%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
6%
↓ 1,00
4%
$89,278 Vol.
↑ 1,40
2%
↑ 1,35
3%
↑ 1,30
6%
↑ 1,26
6%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
28%
↑ 1,20
32%
↓ 1,12
31%
↓ 1,10
23%
↓ 1,05
6%
↓ 1,00
4%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...EUR/USD trades near 1.1630 amid expectations that the ECB will raise its deposit rate 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10, while the Fed’s September 15-16 decision carries roughly 58-61% odds of a matching hike following stronger-than-expected August nonfarm payrolls. Persistent Eurozone inflation above 3%—driven by elevated energy prices from the US-Iran conflict—supports further ECB tightening, narrowing the policy gap with the Fed’s 3.50-3.75% target range. Upcoming US CPI and PPI releases will refine rate-path pricing, with trader positioning reflecting the relative attractiveness of dollar versus euro yields and broader risk sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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