Skip to main content
Market icon
Mondo·Dollaro

Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)

Market icon
Mondo·Dollaro

Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)

dic 31

dic 31

dic 31

dic 31

Polymarket

$15,906 Vol.

Polymarket

$15,906 Vol.

<1600,00

$1,314 Vol.

35%

1600,00–1699,99

$1,005 Vol.

24%

1700,00–1799,99

$929 Vol.

18%

1800,00–1899,99

$713 Vol.

16%

1900,00–1999,99

$10,966 Vol.

15%

2000,00+

$979 Vol.

18%

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 34.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate below 1600 by end-2026, reflecting consensus on sustained disinflation and reserve buildup amid policy tweaks. Recent catalysts include the IMF's April 15 staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion in funds—bolstering BCRA reserves to $45.4 billion after $5.5 billion net purchases year-to-date—and March monthly inflation of 3.4% (annual 32.6%), a 2026 high yet still trending toward a nine-year low. Differentiating higher brackets are risks like stalled inflation above 3%, upcoming debt maturities pressuring reserves, and FX band expansions tied to consumer prices; success in fiscal surplus maintenance could favor sub-1600 stability, while slippage elevates 1700+ odds. Key watch: IMF board approval and April CPI data.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$15,906
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 34.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate below 1600 by end-2026, reflecting consensus on sustained disinflation and reserve buildup amid policy tweaks. Recent catalysts include the IMF's April 15 staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion in funds—bolstering BCRA reserves to $45.4 billion after $5.5 billion net purchases year-to-date—and March monthly inflation of 3.4% (annual 32.6%), a 2026 high yet still trending toward a nine-year low. Differentiating higher brackets are risks like stalled inflation above 3%, upcoming debt maturities pressuring reserves, and FX band expansions tied to consumer prices; success in fiscal surplus maintenance could favor sub-1600 stability, while slippage elevates 1700+ odds. Key watch: IMF board approval and April CPI data.

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$15,906
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<1600,00" a 35%, seguito da "1600,00–1699,99" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 35¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)" ha generato $15.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 26, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)" è "<1600,00" a 35%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1600,00–1699,99" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Tasso di cambio ufficiale del dollaro argentino alla fine del 2026? (Scaglioni più alti)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.